SECTORPURPLE

Chinese Grand Prix — 2026 Round 2

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 iterations

Race Predictions

# Driver Team Outcome Distribution Win % Podium % Top 6 % Points % DNF % Avg Pos Gap to Leader
1
Mercedes
 ANT Mercedes 26.9% 62.0% 85.8% 93.9% 4.7% 3.2 —
2
Mercedes
 RUS Mercedes 22.2% 57.5% 84.4% 93.6% 4.6% 3.5 +0.0s
3
Ferrari
 LEC Ferrari 12.1% 41.5% 77.1% 94.1% 1.9% 4.5 +0.1s
4
Ferrari
 HAM Ferrari 9.5% 35.0% 71.8% 92.6% 2.1% 5.0 +0.2s
5
McLaren
 NOR McLaren 9.8% 31.5% 66.0% 89.8% 2.2% 5.4 +0.2s
6
McLaren
 PIA McLaren 11.3% 29.3% 56.2% 81.7% 3.1% 6.2 +0.3s
7
Red Bull Racing
 VER Red Bull Racing 4.0% 19.6% 53.6% 86.0% 3.1% 6.4 +0.3s
8
Red Bull Racing
 HAD Red Bull Racing <1% 4.6% 21.5% 60.6% 5.7% 9.3 +0.6s
9
Haas F1 Team
 BEA Haas F1 Team <1% 2.4% 14.3% 50.6% 5.4% 10.3 +0.7s
10
Alpine
 GAS Alpine <1% 2.9% 14.6% 49.9% 3.9% 10.3 +0.7s
11
Audi
 BOR Audi 1.9% 6.2% 17.2% 40.3% 11.1% 10.9 +0.8s
12
Haas F1 Team
 OCO Haas F1 Team <1% <1% 6.6% 31.6% 9.0% 11.9 +0.8s
13
Racing Bulls
 LIN Racing Bulls <1% 1.0% 6.5% 28.3% 16.3% 12.0 +0.8s
14
Alpine
 COL Alpine <1% 1.1% 5.6% 26.7% 7.8% 12.4 +0.8s
15
Racing Bulls
 LAW Racing Bulls <1% <1% 4.6% 22.5% 16.2% 12.7 +0.9s
16
Audi
 HUL Audi <1% 1.1% 5.7% 21.3% 12.1% 13.3 +0.9s
17
Williams
 ALB Williams <1% 2.4% 6.5% 20.5% 15.8% 13.4 +1.0s
18
Williams
 SAI Williams <1% <1% 1.3% 9.3% 17.0% 14.8 +1.0s
19
Aston Martin
 ALO Aston Martin <1% <1% <1% 4.4% 22.3% 16.0 +1.2s
20
Aston Martin
 STR Aston Martin <1% <1% <1% 1.4% 23.4% 17.4 +1.3s
21
Cadillac
 PER Cadillac <1% <1% <1% <1% 21.5% 18.5 +1.6s
22
Cadillac
 BOT Cadillac <1% <1% <1% <1% 20.7% 18.8 +1.6s
Win Podium Top 6 Points Outside points
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