SECTORPURPLE

Miami Grand Prix — 2026 Round 4

Pre-Qualifying

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 iterations

Race Predictions

# Driver Team Outcome Distribution Win % Podium % Top 6 % Points % DNF % Avg Pos Gap to Leader
1
Mercedes
 ANT Mercedes 38.2% 73.2% 90.3% 95.0% 4.4% 2.6 —
2
Mercedes
 RUS Mercedes 21.5% 58.2% 85.5% 94.3% 4.2% 3.4 +0.1s
3
McLaren
 PIA McLaren 13.7% 44.9% 79.7% 94.5% 2.3% 4.3 +0.2s
4
Ferrari
 LEC Ferrari 9.6% 37.3% 76.5% 94.6% 2.3% 4.7 +0.2s
5
McLaren
 NOR McLaren 6.5% 27.2% 66.0% 91.1% 2.5% 5.5 +0.3s
6
Ferrari
 HAM Ferrari 4.8% 23.8% 63.0% 91.4% 2.2% 5.7 +0.3s
7
Red Bull Racing
 VER Red Bull Racing 2.3% 13.2% 46.0% 84.0% 3.1% 6.9 +0.5s
8
Alpine
 GAS Alpine <1% 3.4% 15.8% 53.5% 4.3% 10.0 +0.8s
9
Audi
 HUL Audi 1.1% 5.3% 16.8% 48.1% 8.3% 10.2 +0.8s
10
Racing Bulls
 LIN Racing Bulls <1% 3.7% 12.7% 43.6% 11.2% 10.5 +0.8s
11
Haas F1 Team
 OCO Haas F1 Team <1% 2.5% 10.8% 40.9% 8.1% 10.9 +0.8s
12
Haas F1 Team
 BEA Haas F1 Team <1% 1.9% 9.0% 37.8% 8.2% 11.2 +0.8s
13
Red Bull Racing
 HAD Red Bull Racing <1% 2.0% 9.7% 34.2% 10.3% 11.6 +0.9s
14
Alpine
 COL Alpine <1% 1.1% 5.8% 28.7% 9.4% 12.1 +0.9s
15
Audi
 BOR Audi <1% <1% 5.3% 26.5% 10.1% 12.3 +0.9s
16
Racing Bulls
 LAW Racing Bulls <1% <1% 3.4% 19.6% 17.1% 12.9 +1.0s
17
Williams
 ALB Williams <1% <1% 2.8% 14.4% 16.4% 13.6 +1.1s
18
Williams
 SAI Williams <1% <1% <1% 6.1% 18.8% 15.0 +1.2s
19
Aston Martin
 STR Aston Martin <1% <1% <1% 1.1% 25.6% 17.3 +1.5s
20
Aston Martin
 ALO Aston Martin <1% <1% <1% <1% 24.4% 17.9 +1.7s
21
Cadillac
 PER Cadillac <1% <1% <1% <1% 21.1% 18.9 +1.9s
22
Cadillac
 BOT Cadillac <1% <1% <1% <1% 20.5% 19.1 +2.0s
Win Podium Top 6 Points Outside points
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