SECTORPURPLE

Canadian Grand Prix — 2026 Round 5

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 iterations

Race Predictions

# Driver Team Outcome Distribution Win % Podium % Top 6 % Points % DNF % Avg Pos Gap to Leader
1
Mercedes
 ANT Mercedes 37.0% 74.4% 90.6% 93.8% 5.9% 2.4 —
2
Mercedes
 RUS Mercedes 26.7% 65.9% 89.1% 94.0% 5.6% 2.9 +0.1s
3
McLaren
 NOR McLaren 11.4% 43.1% 82.5% 95.4% 3.2% 4.1 +0.3s
4
McLaren
 PIA McLaren 11.0% 37.9% 76.8% 94.3% 3.2% 4.6 +0.4s
5
Ferrari
 LEC Ferrari 5.6% 29.5% 74.7% 94.9% 2.6% 4.9 +0.4s
6
Ferrari
 HAM Ferrari 4.6% 24.4% 69.8% 94.1% 2.6% 5.3 +0.5s
7
Red Bull Racing
 VER Red Bull Racing 2.8% 16.4% 56.7% 91.5% 3.1% 6.1 +0.6s
8
Alpine
 COL Alpine <1% 2.4% 15.4% 68.2% 2.8% 9.2 +1.0s
9
Red Bull Racing
 HAD Red Bull Racing <1% 1.8% 12.1% 57.8% 5.4% 9.8 +1.1s
10
Racing Bulls
 LIN Racing Bulls <1% 1.3% 8.5% 48.8% 7.7% 10.4 +1.2s
11
Audi
 HUL Audi <1% 1.2% 8.2% 42.5% 7.6% 10.8 +1.2s
12
Alpine
 GAS Alpine <1% <1% 3.8% 28.5% 8.7% 11.9 +1.3s
13
Haas F1 Team
 BEA Haas F1 Team <1% <1% 2.9% 23.0% 14.3% 12.3 +1.4s
14
Audi
 BOR Audi <1% <1% 3.4% 24.2% 12.7% 12.4 +1.4s
15
Racing Bulls
 LAW Racing Bulls <1% <1% 2.0% 16.8% 18.1% 12.9 +1.5s
16
Haas F1 Team
 OCO Haas F1 Team <1% <1% 1.6% 14.0% 18.5% 13.3 +1.5s
17
Williams
 SAI Williams <1% <1% 1.6% 13.5% 18.5% 13.5 +1.5s
18
Williams
 ALB Williams <1% <1% <1% 3.5% 26.0% 15.6 +1.9s
19
Cadillac
 PER Cadillac <1% <1% <1% <1% 28.9% 17.6 +2.3s
20
Aston Martin
 STR Aston Martin <1% <1% <1% <1% 30.4% 17.8 +2.4s
21
Aston Martin
 ALO Aston Martin <1% <1% <1% <1% 29.9% 17.9 +2.4s
22
Cadillac
 BOT Cadillac <1% <1% <1% <1% 25.7% 18.8 +2.7s
Win Podium Top 6 Points Outside points
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