Barcelona Grand Prix — 2026 Round 7

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 iterations

Race Predictions

#	Driver	Team	Win %	Podium %	Top 6 %	Points %	DNF %	Avg Pos	Gap to Leader
1	ANT	Mercedes	53.3%	81.5%	91.6%	93.7%	6.2%	2.0	—
2	RUS	Mercedes	14.4%	54.1%	84.5%	92.4%	6.9%	3.5	+0.3s
3	LEC	Ferrari	9.5%	45.0%	84.3%	96.3%	2.2%	4.1	+0.3s
4	HAM	Ferrari	6.5%	34.4%	79.1%	95.5%	2.7%	4.6	+0.4s
5	NOR	McLaren	6.6%	32.7%	75.5%	95.1%	2.8%	4.8	+0.4s
6	PIA	McLaren	5.6%	26.5%	70.1%	95.0%	2.5%	5.2	+0.5s
7	VER	Red Bull Racing	3.4%	19.1%	58.3%	91.0%	4.9%	5.8	+0.5s
8	HAD	Red Bull Racing	<1%	2.8%	18.4%	69.3%	5.9%	8.8	+0.9s
9	GAS	Alpine	<1%	1.6%	12.4%	59.8%	3.6%	9.7	+1.0s
10	HUL	Audi	<1%	<1%	6.8%	40.8%	9.3%	11.1	+1.1s
11	COL	Alpine	<1%	<1%	4.5%	35.8%	7.8%	11.5	+1.1s
12	BOR	Audi	<1%	<1%	3.6%	29.8%	11.6%	11.8	+1.1s
13	BEA	Haas F1 Team	<1%	<1%	2.8%	25.6%	11.1%	12.3	+1.2s
14	LAW	Racing Bulls	<1%	<1%	2.4%	20.5%	19.3%	12.5	+1.2s
15	OCO	Haas F1 Team	<1%	<1%	2.0%	21.6%	13.4%	12.6	+1.2s
16	LIN	Racing Bulls	<1%	<1%	2.2%	19.2%	21.9%	12.6	+1.2s
17	SAI	Williams	<1%	<1%	<1%	10.8%	19.0%	13.8	+1.3s
18	ALB	Williams	<1%	<1%	<1%	7.5%	23.1%	14.4	+1.4s
19	ALO	Aston Martin	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	30.1%	17.4	+2.0s
20	STR	Aston Martin	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	28.5%	17.9	+2.1s
21	PER	Cadillac	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	27.1%	18.1	+2.1s
22	BOT	Cadillac	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	24.2%	19.0	+2.5s

Win Podium Top 6 Points Outside points

#	Driver	Team	Win %	Podium %	Top 6 %	Points %	DNF %	Avg Pos	Gap to Leader
1	ANT	Mercedes	38.7%	74.2%	90.3%	93.1%	6.7%	2.4	—
2	RUS	Mercedes	21.1%	57.7%	85.3%	92.8%	6.7%	3.3	+0.1s
3	HAM	Ferrari	12.4%	44.6%	83.5%	96.5%	2.3%	4.1	+0.2s
4	NOR	McLaren	8.4%	32.8%	73.8%	94.6%	2.9%	4.8	+0.3s
5	PIA	McLaren	5.7%	26.0%	68.0%	93.7%	2.9%	5.3	+0.3s
6	LEC	Ferrari	7.0%	29.6%	64.6%	89.3%	2.3%	5.6	+0.3s
7	VER	Red Bull Racing	5.0%	22.6%	60.0%	90.4%	4.1%	5.7	+0.4s
8	HAD	Red Bull Racing	<1%	6.5%	28.4%	75.6%	4.9%	8.1	+0.6s
9	HUL	Audi	<1%	1.6%	10.8%	48.8%	5.7%	10.4	+0.8s
10	GAS	Alpine	<1%	1.3%	8.3%	41.3%	7.5%	11.2	+0.8s
11	LAW	Racing Bulls	<1%	<1%	5.7%	34.2%	12.0%	11.3	+0.9s
12	COL	Alpine	<1%	<1%	5.4%	37.0%	6.0%	11.3	+0.9s
13	BOR	Audi	<1%	<1%	5.8%	35.8%	7.9%	11.4	+0.9s
14	LIN	Racing Bulls	<1%	<1%	5.1%	29.9%	14.4%	11.7	+1.0s
15	BEA	Haas F1 Team	<1%	<1%	2.8%	21.5%	14.8%	12.5	+1.0s
16	OCO	Haas F1 Team	<1%	<1%	1.2%	12.4%	18.2%	13.6	+1.1s
17	SAI	Williams	<1%	<1%	<1%	7.7%	23.3%	14.2	+1.2s
18	ALB	Williams	<1%	<1%	<1%	4.8%	26.0%	15.0	+1.3s
19	ALO	Aston Martin	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	28.5%	17.5	+1.7s
20	STR	Aston Martin	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	28.5%	17.9	+1.8s
21	PER	Cadillac	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	28.2%	18.1	+1.8s
22	BOT	Cadillac	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	24.8%	18.9	+2.1s

Win Podium Top 6 Points Outside points